Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 1.124591 1.342701 1.607785 1.958924 2.419965 3.016654 3.867996
2025-01-12 0.792459 1.035558 1.371083 1.886653 2.695943 3.990762 6.399270
2025-01-19 0.623734 0.865156 1.228498 1.850130 2.971367 5.120167 10.278189
2025-01-26 0.549260 0.801645 1.211352 1.984947 3.583067 7.292872 19.412493
2025-02-02 0.489087 0.742763 1.180165 2.076592 4.163392 9.983119 36.751116
2025-02-09 0.431421 0.674618 1.113286 2.071119 4.527786 12.573774 65.121746
2025-02-16 0.380589 0.608485 1.034051 2.010930 4.723943 14.956378 110.846269
2025-02-23 0.349515 0.572198 1.003884 2.051185 5.238260 19.542159 250.180857
2025-03-02 0.327337 0.548530 0.993613 2.136241 5.969401 27.013006 816.714781
2025-03-09 0.302951 0.516843 0.959875 2.149544 6.475603 34.948841 3374.083714
2025-03-16 0.275960 0.476441 0.899841 2.072228 6.584337 40.641712 16298.330885
2025-03-23 0.262067 0.460569 0.892204 2.144836 7.417977 57.752781 NaN
2025-03-30 0.245737 0.438137 0.866606 2.159697 8.042383 78.342901 NaN
2025-04-06 0.227157 0.408985 0.820559 2.096823 8.233615 95.590516 NaN
2025-04-13 0.211978 0.385500 0.784938 2.059201 8.561345 122.009792 NaN
2025-04-20 0.207058 0.383646 0.803164 2.216054 10.329255 235.886297 NaN
2025-04-27 0.200151 0.376529 0.806572 2.322563 11.986313 456.856655 NaN
2025-05-04 0.189675 0.360202 0.782776 2.316276 12.789505 732.404795 NaN
2025-05-11 0.178038 0.340129 0.745968 2.246489 12.971817 1012.109043 NaN
2025-05-18 0.171227 0.330651 0.737328 2.293164 14.408687 2273.648083 NaN
2025-05-25 0.166440 0.325449 0.740028 2.391932 16.700953 9169.833107 NaN
2025-06-01 0.159644 0.314791 0.725319 2.407397 18.129759 41689.612925 NaN
2025-06-08 0.150650 0.298083 0.690581 2.317581 18.026363 104488.085334 NaN